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Regionalisation of Demographic and Economic Projections

Regionalisation of Demographic and Economic Projections

In many domains of policy making, demographic and economic projections are vital and necessary methods. Using these methods, policymakers can anticipate future trends, explore other situations and offer the basis to evaluate effects of policies. The authors, Batista, Dijkstra, Vizcaino, and Lavalle (2016), regionalised the European Union demographic and economic projection from the country to the NUTS3 level. This procedure is presented in this report. “Trend” and “Convergence” were used as alternative scenarios to carry out the regionalisation of the projection.

Trend scenarios

The results show that in the trend scenario the recent monitored growth rates continue. However, the convergence scenario in less developed regions grows even faster than in more developed regions. The trend scenario highlights the present territorial disparities. The convergence scenario, however, offers a more stable growth and, thus more territorial cohesion.

For more data on this paper, follow this link:

https://bookshop.europa.eu/en/regionalisation-of-demographic-and-economic-projections-pbLBNA27924/?CatalogCategoryID=Gj0KABst5F4AAAEjsZAY4e5L

Reference

Batista e Silva, F., Dijkstra, L., Vizcaino Martinez, P., Lavalle, C. (2016), Regionalisation of demographic and economic projections – Trend and convergence scenarios from 2015 to 2060, JRC Science for policy report. EUR 27924 EN; doi: 10.2788/458769.

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